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5 revenue forecasting methods every finance leader needs to know

Unlike most other SaaS metrics, subscription gross margin can be pretty tough to improve. Our cheat sheet explains why and will give you all the basics you need to know about this important SaaS metric, including why it matters and how to calculate it for your business.

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Format
Granularity
Skill needed
Time to first output

Five simple steps to setup your 3 statement model

1
Set your timeline
Enter the start and end of your actuals period. The forecast picks up the day after.
2
Check the assumptions
Read the eleven drivers and adjust the ones that don't describe your business.
3
Drop in actuals
Fill the shaded cells on the income statement and balance sheet. Nothing else needs touching.
4
Confirm the tie-out
Cash flow builds itself. The balance check should read "Pass" for every month.
5
Open the dashboard
Charts and the full-year summary are already populated. Share as is, or restyle for your deck.

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What the model covers, dimension by dimension

Dimension Supported Detail
Time granularity Monthly Every statement rolls monthly. No weekly or daily view.
Horizon 12 months Ships as 2 months of actuals plus 10 forecast. Copy the last column right to extend.
Actuals vs. forecast Flag-driven Each column carries a historical / forecast flag in a collapsed row. Flip a flag to roll the forecast forward one month.
Revenue streams 4 lines Subscriptions, services, managed services, hardware. Insert rows to add more.
Legal entities Single No consolidation, intercompany eliminations or minority interest.
Currency Single No FX rates, no translation adjustment.
Departments Not dimensioned OpEx rolls up to G&A, R&D and S&M only. No cost-centre or team-level split.
Scenarios One Duplicate the file to compare a base, upside and downside case.
Headcount Not modelled OpEx scales with revenue, not with a hiring plan. Pair with the headcount planning template if you need role-level cost.
Working capital DSO / DPO AR and AP forecast off days outstanding. Inventory is not modelled.
Fixed assets CapEx waterfall Opening balance → CapEx → depreciation → closing balance, tied to the balance sheet.
Debt Partial Duplicate the file to compare a base, upside and downside case.
Tax Not modelled Net income is stated pre-tax. Add a provision line below EBIT if you need one.

Take the template

Free, editable, and yours to keep. Copy it to your Drive and you'll have a model that ties out in about fifteen minutes.

FAQs

Can you connect to our ERP and auto-create our financial statements?

Drivetrain is an AI-native business planning platform that helps companies accelerate budgeting, reporting, and forecasting with autonomous FP&A.

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur.

Can you connect to our ERP and auto-create our financial statements?

Drivetrain is an AI-native business planning platform that helps companies accelerate budgeting, reporting, and forecasting with autonomous FP&A.

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur.

Can you connect to our ERP and auto-create our financial statements?

Drivetrain is an AI-native business planning platform that helps companies accelerate budgeting, reporting, and forecasting with autonomous FP&A.

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur.

Can you connect to our ERP and auto-create our financial statements?

Drivetrain is an AI-native business planning platform that helps companies accelerate budgeting, reporting, and forecasting with autonomous FP&A.

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur.

Can you connect to our ERP and auto-create our financial statements?

Drivetrain is an AI-native business planning platform that helps companies accelerate budgeting, reporting, and forecasting with autonomous FP&A.

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur.

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